FIVE MOST SURPRISING FINDS
Ranked by how hard they are to explain away
5
Black parents were more likely than white parents to support traditional discipline policies in schools. The people living with the consequences of disorder wanted order restored. The people who eliminated consequences did not live in the neighborhoods they disrupted. Education Next Survey, 2018
4
The 2014 “Dear Colleague” letter never had the force of law. It was guidance — not legislation, not regulation — yet it coerced 13,000 school districts into dismantling their discipline systems through the threat of federal investigation. U.S. DOE & DOJ, Office for Civil Rights, January 8, 2014
3
In Pittsburgh, the most aggressive adopter of restorative justice, math and reading scores dropped — and dropped most for Black students. The policy designed to help Black children produced worse academic outcomes for Black children. RAND Corporation, RR-2840-NLSB, 2018
2
The GAO confirmed Black students were suspended at three times the rate of white students — but could not determine how much was bias and how much was behavioral difference. The reform movement treated the entire disparity as racism. The data did not support that conclusion. U.S. Government Accountability Office, GAO-18-258, 2018
1
The primary victims of eliminated school discipline were not the suspended students. They were the quiet Black students sitting next to them — the ones who came to learn and found that learning was impossible because the classroom had been surrendered to chaos in the name of equity. Eden, Manhattan Institute, 2019; Steinberg & Lacoe, Education Next, 2017

In January of 2014, the United States Department of Education and the Department of Justice issued a joint “Dear Colleague” letter — an official warning sent to every public school district in the country (U.S. DOE & DOJ, Office for Civil Rights, 2014). The letter did not have the force of law. But it carried the unmistakable weight of the federal government’s enforcement apparatus. Its message was clear: school discipline policies that resulted in racial disparities in suspension and expulsion rates would be treated as potential violations of Title VI — the section of the Civil Rights Act that bans discrimination in federally funded programs — regardless of whether the policies themselves were applied equally on paper.

If Black students were suspended at higher rates than white students, the school district could face a federal investigation. The letter did not say that schools must eliminate suspensions. But in practice, it meant schools would be punished for the outcomes of their discipline policies even if those policies were applied without racial bias. School administrators understood the threat precisely. They responded by eliminating suspensions.

What followed was a massive, well-documented policy failure. It hurt the very students it was meant to protect. The education establishment refuses to admit this. Admitting it would mean their progressive consensus was not just wrong — it was destructive.

The students who paid the highest price were overwhelmingly Black. They were not the students who were no longer being suspended. They were the students who sat next to them — the quiet ones, the studious ones, the ones who came to school to learn and found, increasingly, that learning was impossible because the classroom had been surrendered to chaos in the name of equity.

The Disparity That Started It All

Let us be honest about what the discipline reformers were responding to, because the disparities were real and they demanded attention.

The Government Accountability Office, in a comprehensive 2018 report, confirmed what researchers had documented for decades (GAO-18-258, 2018):

Suspension Rates: Black vs. White Students

Black Students
3× Rate
White Students
1× Baseline
U.S. Government Accountability Office, GAO-18-258, 2018

The question the discipline reform movement refused to ask — or asked and then refused to accept the answer to — was straightforward. Were these disparities entirely the product of racial bias in how discipline was applied? Or did they also reflect, at least in part, genuine differences in rates of disruptive behavior? Differences traceable to the social and economic factors that disproportionately affect Black students.

The GAO report carefully noted that its analysis could not determine the extent to which disparities reflected bias versus differences in behavior (GAO-18-258, 2018). But the reform movement was not interested in careful distinctions. It had a narrative, and the narrative was that the disparities were caused by racism, full stop, and the solution was to eliminate the disparities by eliminating the discipline.

“The assumption that any racial disparity in discipline must be caused by racism is itself a form of the soft bigotry of low expectations — it assumes that Black children cannot be expected to follow the same rules as everyone else.”
— Max Eden, Manhattan Institute, 2019

What the Research Found

The RAND Corporation conducted one of the most rigorous evaluations of restorative justice — a discipline approach that replaces punishment with guided conversations between offenders and those they harmed — ever performed. They studied Pittsburgh Public Schools from 2015 to 2018 (Augustine et al., RAND Corporation, RR-2840-NLSB, 2018). Pittsburgh had been among the most aggressive adopters, replacing suspensions with restorative circles, peer mediation, and other alternatives.

The RAND findings were devastating for the reform movement:

The policy designed to help Black students produced worse academic outcomes for Black students, widening the achievement gap it was meant to close.

This is the kind of analysis that standard testing misses entirely. The Real World IQ assessment — the first IQ test verified for zero demographic bias via IBM Quantum computing — was built by this article’s author to measure six brain regions independently rather than producing a single number that conflates cultural exposure with cognitive ability. Try 10 free questions.

Augustine et al., RAND Corporation, RR-2840-NLSB, 2018

Let that sink in. The policy designed to help Black students produced worse academic outcomes for Black students. The policy designed to close the achievement gap widened it. The policy designed to make schools more equitable made them less effective. And the students who bore the cost were not the policy’s architects, who sent their own children to private schools. They were the low-income Black students who had no choice but to sit in classrooms where order had been abandoned.

Steinberg and Lacoe, in their comprehensive review of discipline reform research published in Education Next, found a consistent pattern (Steinberg & Lacoe, Education Next, Vol. 17, No. 1, 2017):

The Bottom Line

The numbers tell a story that no political narrative can override:

The discipline reform movement did not fail because its diagnosis was wrong. Racial bias in school discipline is real, documented, and worth addressing. The movement failed because it confused the elimination of consequences with the elimination of bias. The students who paid the price for that confusion were the same Black children the movement claimed to protect.

A school without discipline is not a school. It is a holding facility. And calling that holding facility “equitable” does not make it so. It makes it a lie — and the children trapped inside it know it is a lie, even if the adults who put them there refuse to admit it.